Research Statement

Public Policy. Bayesian econometrics. Decision Theory.

Research Keywords

  • Bayesian Econometrics

Presentations

  • Sturdy Inference: A Bayesian Analysis of US Motorcycle Helmet Laws. Eastern Economics Association. Conference Paper, Refereed, Presented, 02/17/2016.
  • The Determinants of Motorcycle Fatalities. American Economic Association, Boston, 2015. Conference Paper, Refereed, Presented, 01/03/2015.
  • Motorcycle Accidents Revisited, With Peter D. Loeb, Eastern Economics Association Meetings, Boston, 2014. Conference Paper, Presented, 03/2014.
  • Motor Vehicle Accidents Revisited. Eastern Economics Association, Boston, 2014. Conference Paper, Presented, 01/2014.
  • Understanding the Determinants of Motor Vehicle Fatalities: A Classical and Bayesian Approach, ASSA Meetings, San Diego, CA, January 2013 . Conference Paper, Refereed, Presented, 01/03/2013.
  • The Cell Phone Effect on Truck Accidents: A Specification Error Approach. With Peter D. Loeb and Wm. Clarke. National Business and Economics Society. Maui, 2012. Conference Paper, Refereed, Presented, 03/09/2012.
  • Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Relating to Motor Vehicle Fatalities. ASSA Annual Meetings, Chicago, 2012. Conference Paper, Refereed, Presented, 01/16/2012.
  • Predicting Avalanches in a Forest of Bayesian Trees / Institute of Mathematical Statistics / MCMSki III / Park City, Utah. Poster, Presented, 01/06/2011.
  • Steroid Profiling Among National Football League Players. Proceedings of the Cologne Workshop on Dope Analysis. 2010. Conference Paper, Other, 10/15/2010.
  • Bayesian Models to Predict the Return to Prison. Conference Paper, Refereed, Other, 10/15/2010.
  • Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Related to Motor Vehicle Crashes. Conference Paper, Refereed, Other, 08/20/2010.

Software Titles

  • MICRO EBA. Implementation of Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 01/2014.
  • MicroEBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 01/01/2012.
  • MicroEBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 01/01/2011.
  • Micro EBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 07/01/2010.
  • Micro EBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 09/10/2009.

Geographical Regions of Interest

  • South-Eastern Asia
  • Thailand

Publications

  • Still Handcuffing the Cops: A Review of Fifty Years of Empirical Evidence Of Miranda's Harmful Effects on Law Enforcement. Boston University Law Review, Vol 97.. Published, 07/10/2017.
    http://ssrn.com/abstract=3000098
  • Sturdy Inference: A Bayesian Analysis of US Motorcycle Helmet Laws Journal of the Transportation Reseach Forum, 55 (3), 41-63. Published, 04/07/2017.
    https://trforum.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Mot...
  • Mitigating Avalanche Danger Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Journal of Forecasting. Published, 04/25/2016.
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/for.242...
  • The Determinants of Motorcyle Fatalities: Are All Helmet Laws the Same? Transportmetrica.. Revise/resubmit(2), 12/01/2015.
  • Rational Econometric Man, Eastern Economic Journal, May, 2015. DOI: 10.1057/eej.2015.28. Published, 01/05/2015.
  • Economic Policy Relating to Motorcyle Accidents in Thailand: Prevention Budget for Motorcyle Safety, Journal of Population and Social Studies, 23(1), 98-110. Published, 01/01/2015.
  • Variable Selection in Bayesian Models Using Parameter Estimation and Non-Parameter Estimation Methods. With Gail Blattenberger and Peter Loeb. Advances in Econometrics (34), 2014, 249-278. Published, 12/15/2014.
  • Determinants of Motor Vehicle Crash Fatalities Using Bayesian Model Selection Methods. With Gail Blattenberger and Peter D. Loeb. Research in Transportation Economics, 43(1), 2013, 112-122. Published, 11/15/2014.
  • Avalanche Forecasting Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Submitted: Journal of Applied Econometrics. Revise/resubmit(1), 11/15/2014.
  • An Evaluation of Utah Department of Corrections’ Employment Placement Project, Utah Commission on Criminal and Juvenile Justice (CCJJ), June, 2014. Published, 06/15/2014.
  • Avalanche Forecasting: Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) J. Alleman et al. (eds) Demand for Communications Services, The Economics of Information. New York, 2014. Published, 01/2014.
  • The Cell Phone Effect on Truck Accidents: A Specification Error Approach, Transportation Research Part E, 50, 2013, 18-28. Published, 01/03/2013.
  • Program Evaluation: Workplace and Community Transition for Incarcerated Individuals. Utah State Office of Education, December, 2012. Published, 12/01/2012.
  • Introduction to an Econometric Cost-Benefit Approach, Utah Commission on Criminal and Juvenile Justice, 2012. Published, 10/18/2012.
    http://www.justice.utah.gov/Documents/CCJJ/Cost%20...
  • Understanding the Cell Phone Effect on Motor Vehicle Fatalities: A Bayesian View. Applied Economics. Published, 03/10/2011.
  • Bayesian Models to Predict the Return to Prison. JSM 2010 Proceedings: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science. American Statistical Association, Alexandria, VA. 5216-5299. Published, 11/10/2010.
  • The Cell Phone Effect on Motor Vehicle Fatality Rates: A Bayesian and Classical Econometric Evaluation. Transportation Research, Part E, (46), 2010, 1140-1147. Published, 11/01/2010.
    http://www.elsevier.com/locate/tre
  • Workplace and Community Transition for Incarcerated Youth Offenders, United States Department of Education. Other, 01/26/2010.
  • Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Relating to Motor Vehicle Fatalities. JSM Proceedings: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, American Statistical Association, Alexandria, VA, 2009, 974-987. Published, 09/01/2009.