RICHARD FOWLES portrait
  • Chair, Graduate Program in Statistics, Graduate Program in Statistics
  • Director, Economic Evaluation Unit, Economics Department
  • Professor, Economics Department

Publications

  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Introduction to an Econometric Cost-Benefit Approach, Utah Commission on Criminal and Juvenile Justice, 2012.. Accepted, .
  • (date unknown). Bayesian Models to Predict the Return to Prison. JSM 2010 Proceedings: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science. American Statistical Association, Alexandria, VA. 5216-5299. Accepted, .
  • (date unknown). Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Relating to Motor Vehicle Fatalities. JSM Proceedings: Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, American Statistical Association, Alexandria, VA, 2009, 974-987. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Avalanche Forecasting: Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) J. Alleman et al. (eds) Demand for Communications Services, The Economics of Information. New York, 2014. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Variable Selection in Bayesian Models Using Parameter Estimation and Non-Parameter Estimation Methods. With Gail Blattenberger and Peter Loeb. Advances in Econometrics (34), 2014, 249-278. Accepted, .
  • Paul Cassell & Richard Fowles (date unknown). What Caused the 2016 Chicago Homicide Spike? An Empirical Examination of the “ACLU Effect" and the Role of Stop and Frisk in Preventing Gun Violence. University of Illinois Law Review. Vol. 5, 1581-1684. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). The Determinants of Motorcyle Fatalities: Are All Helmet Laws the Same? Transportmetrica. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Avalanche Forecasting Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Submitted: Journal of Applied Econometrics. Accepted, .
  • Fowles, Richard (date unknown). Determinants of Motor Vehicle Crash Fatalities Using Bayesian Model Selection Methods. With Gail Blattenberger and Peter D. Loeb. Research in Transportation Economics, 43(1), 2013, 112-122. Accepted, .
  • (date unknown). The Cell Phone Effect on Motor Vehicle Fatality Rates: A Bayesian and Classical Econometric Evaluation. Transportation Research, Part E, (46), 2010, 1140-1147. Accepted, .
  • Paul Cassell & Richard Fowles (date unknown). Still Handcuffing the Cops: A Review of Fifty Years of Empirical Evidence Of Miranda's Harmful Effects on Law Enforcement. Boston University Law Review, Vol 97. Accepted, .
  • Paul Cassell & Richard Fowles (date unknown). Does Bail Reform Increase Crime? An Empirical Assessment of the Public Safety Implications of Bail Reform in Cook County, Illinois. Wake Forest Law Review. Vol. 55, 933-983. Accepted, .
  • Chaturaphat Chantith, CK Permpoonwiwat & Richard Fowles (date unknown). Cost-Effectiveness of Road Safety Policy for Preventing and Reducing Road Traffic Fatalities in Thailand. Thailand and The World Economy. Vol. 39, 1-17. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). The association between marijuana and motor vehicle crashes. Journal of Transport & Health. Vol. 21. Accepted, .
  • Gail Blattenberger (date unknown). Mitigating Avalanche Danger Using Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. Journal of Forecasting. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Sturdy Inference: A Bayesian Analysis of US Motorcycle Helmet Laws Journal of the Transportation Reseach Forum, 55 (3), 41-63. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). A Sturdy Values Analysis of Motor Vehicle Fatalities. Empirical Economics. Vol. 60(4), 2063-2081. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Understanding the Cell Phone Effect on Motor Vehicle Fatalities: A Bayesian View. Applied Economics. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowels (date unknown). The Cell Phone Effect on Truck Accidents: A Specification Error Approach, Transportation Research Part E, 50, 2013, 18-28. Accepted, .
  • Rakkhwan Sarawasee (date unknown). Economic Policy Relating to Motorcyle Accidents in Thailand: Prevention Budget for Motorcyle Safety, Journal of Population and Social Studies, 23(1), 98-110. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Program Evaluation: Workplace and Community Transition for Incarcerated Individuals. Utah State Office of Education, December, 2012. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). An Evaluation of Utah Department of Corrections’ Employment Placement Project, Utah Commission on Criminal and Juvenile Justice (CCJJ), June, 2014. Accepted, .
  • (date unknown). Workplace and Community Transition for Incarcerated Youth Offenders, United States Department of Education. Accepted, .
  • Richard Fowles (date unknown). Rational Econometric Man. Vol. 44. Palgrave Macmillan UK. Accepted, .

Research Statement

Public Policy. Bayesian econometrics. Decision Theory.

Presentations

  • Symposium: Federal Responses to Police Misconduct: Possibilities and Limits. What Caused the 2016 Chicago Homicide Spike? An Empirical Examination of the “ACLU Effect” and the Role of Stop and Frisk in Preventing Gun Violence. With Paul Cassell. University of Illinois, April, 2018. , Presented, 2018.
  • Symposium. The Fiftieth Anniversary of Miranda V. Arizona. Opening Keynote Address: Still Handcuffing the Cops? A Review of Fifty Years of Evidence of the Harmful Effects on Law Enforcement. Boston University. , Presented, 2017.
  • Motorcycle Fatalities Revisited from a Bayesian EBA and BMA Perspective. With Peter Loeb. Eastern Economic Association Meetings. Boston, 2020. , Presented, 2020.
  • Motorcycle Accidents Revisited, With Peter D. Loeb, Eastern Economics Association Meetings, Boston, 2014. , Presented, 2014.
  • Motor Vehicle Accidents Revisited. Eastern Economics Association, Boston, 2014. , Presented, 2014.
  • Steroid Profiling Among National Football League Players. Proceedings of the Cologne Workshop on Dope Analysis. 2010. , Other, 2010.
  • The Marijuana Effect on Motor Vehicle Crashes. With Peter Loeb. American Economic Association Meetings. San Diego, 2020. , Presented, 2020.
  • Motor Vehicle Fatalities and Sturdy Statistics. With Peter Loeb. American Economic Association Meetings. Atlanta, 2019. , Presented, 2019.
  • The Reduction of Motor Vehicle Fatalities from the Perspective of Sturdy Values: The Autonomous Vehicle Effect. With Peter Loeb. American Economic Association Meetings. Philadelphia, 2018. , Presented, 2018.
  • The Determinants of Motor Vehicle Fatalities from a Bayesian Sturdy-Values Perspective. With Peter Loeb. Eastern Economic Association Meetings. New York, 2017. , Presented, 2017.
  • Sturdy Inference: A Bayesian Analysis of Motor Vehicle Fatalities in the Context of Parameter Uncertainty and Model Ambiguity. With Peter Loeb. American Economic Association Meetings, Chicago, 2017. , Presented, 2017.
  • Sturdy Inference: A Bayesian Analysis of US Motorcycle Helmet Laws. Eastern Economics Association. , Presented, 2016.
  • The Determinants of Motorcycle Fatalities. American Economic Association, Boston, 2015. , Presented, 2015.
  • Understanding the Determinants of Motor Vehicle Fatalities: A Classical and Bayesian Approach, ASSA Meetings, San Diego, CA, January 2013. , Presented, 2013.
  • The Cell Phone Effect on Truck Accidents: A Specification Error Approach. With Peter D. Loeb and Wm. Clarke. National Business and Economics Society. Maui, 2012. , Presented, 2012.
  • Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Relating to Motor Vehicle Fatalities. ASSA Annual Meetings, Chicago, 2012. , Presented, 2012.
  • Bayesian Models to Predict the Return to Prison. , Other, 2010.
  • Bayesian Model Selection: Examples Related to Motor Vehicle Crashes. , Other, 2010.
  • Predicting Avalanches in a Forest of Bayesian Trees / Institute of Mathematical Statistics / MCMSki III / Park City, Utah. Poster, Presented, 2011.

Software Titles

  • MICRO EBA. Implementation of Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 2014.
  • MicroEBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 2012.
  • MicroEBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 2011.
  • Micro EBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 2010.
  • Micro EBA. Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis. Release Date: 2009.

Geographical Regions of Interest

  • Thailand